Supporting note · AI x Energy

Energy Services Market

Oil and gas services companies are outperforming Big Tech by 30% in 2026 as exploration renaissance, Hormuz-driven urgency, and AI adoption create multi-vector demand for drilling, infrastructure, and digital transformation services.

Apr 5, 2026 · 3 min read

Summary

Energy services stocks are outperforming Big Tech in 2026 by 30%. SLB Q1 2026 earnings due April 24. Baker Hughes had a strong 2025 ($27.73B revenue). The exploration renaissance, Hormuz-driven urgency, and AI adoption are creating multi-vector demand for services.

Stock Performance

  • SLB and Baker Hughes are beating Big Tech by 30% in 2026 in stock performance.
  • Baker Hughes described as “pulling away from the pack” versus SLB and Halliburton.
  • Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) outperforming Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK).

Sources:

SLB - Q1 2026 Preview

  • Q1 2026 earnings release: April 24, 2026 (before market open).
  • Analyst consensus: adjusted EPS of $0.60, down 16.7% from year-ago $0.72.
  • Despite EPS headwinds, stock performance suggests market sees Hormuz-driven upside ahead.
  • Delfi platform serves 85 of top 100 global oil producers (from CERAWeek data).

Sources:

Baker Hughes - 2025 Full Year

  • Full-year 2025 revenue: $27.73 billion.
  • Q4 adjusted net income surged 11.24% year-over-year.
  • Q1 2025 revenue: $6.43 billion (13% drop from prior quarter, slight YoY increase).
  • Q1 2026 results not yet reported as of April 5.

Sources:

ESG and Emissions Context

  • Oilfield services companies navigating “tightrope” of Q1 profits, emissions, and net zero commitments.
  • Race to net zero continues alongside strong financial performance.

Sources:

Our Thinking (2026-04-05)

The 30% outperformance versus Big Tech is a striking signal. The market is pricing in a structural demand increase for energy services driven by:

  1. Exploration renaissance: Oil companies returning to exploration after years of underinvestment, needing services for new campaigns.
  2. Hormuz urgency: $126/barrel oil justifies aggressive spending on production and drilling.
  3. AI transformation: SLB’s Delfi platform and Baker Hughes digital tools becoming revenue drivers, not just cost centers.
  4. Power infrastructure: Services companies positioned for the gas turbine buildout and pipeline expansion.

The SLB Q1 earnings on April 24 are the next major data point. Analyst EPS estimates are conservative ($0.60 vs $0.72 prior year), suggesting potential for an upside surprise if Hormuz-driven activity is already flowing through.

The working case for 20%+ revenue growth by 2027 feels conservative given the tailwinds. But capital discipline culture in the industry could moderate the pace.

Watch: SLB Q1 earnings (April 24), Baker Hughes Q1 earnings, rig count trends, upstream CapEx guidance updates post-Hormuz.

← AI x Energy
Supporting note · AI x Energy

Energy Services Market

Oil and gas services companies are outperforming Big Tech by 30% in 2026 as exploration renaissance, Hormuz-driven urgency, and AI adoption create multi-vector demand for drilling, infrastructure, and digital transformation services.

Apr 5, 2026 · 3 min read

Summary

Energy services stocks are outperforming Big Tech in 2026 by 30%. SLB Q1 2026 earnings due April 24. Baker Hughes had a strong 2025 ($27.73B revenue). The exploration renaissance, Hormuz-driven urgency, and AI adoption are creating multi-vector demand for services.

Stock Performance

Sources:

SLB - Q1 2026 Preview

Sources:

Baker Hughes - 2025 Full Year

Sources:

ESG and Emissions Context

Sources:

Our Thinking (2026-04-05)

The 30% outperformance versus Big Tech is a striking signal. The market is pricing in a structural demand increase for energy services driven by:

  1. Exploration renaissance: Oil companies returning to exploration after years of underinvestment, needing services for new campaigns.
  2. Hormuz urgency: $126/barrel oil justifies aggressive spending on production and drilling.
  3. AI transformation: SLB’s Delfi platform and Baker Hughes digital tools becoming revenue drivers, not just cost centers.
  4. Power infrastructure: Services companies positioned for the gas turbine buildout and pipeline expansion.

The SLB Q1 earnings on April 24 are the next major data point. Analyst EPS estimates are conservative ($0.60 vs $0.72 prior year), suggesting potential for an upside surprise if Hormuz-driven activity is already flowing through.

The working case for 20%+ revenue growth by 2027 feels conservative given the tailwinds. But capital discipline culture in the industry could moderate the pace.

Watch: SLB Q1 earnings (April 24), Baker Hughes Q1 earnings, rig count trends, upstream CapEx guidance updates post-Hormuz.